Daily Market Analysis by ForexMart

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: December 12, 2016
The Aussie traded mixed following the release of Australia and China’s economic data Home loans grew less as the Chinese and Australian manufacturing PMI presented greater than the anticipated results. Meanwhile, the AUDUSD is trading higher than the previous amid EU sessions on Friday. The rally faded within the 0.7500 region, which acts a strong support and further rejected the prices downwards. The Australian dollar rebounded the 0.7500 area and shifted towards the 0.7450. The price made a reversal in the 50-EMA and moved to the 200-EMA wherein the price is rejected downwards. Both 200 and 100 EMAs are trending lower and the 50-day moving average seems neutral. Resistance reached the 0.7500 level, support is seen at 0.7450. The MACD histogram traded downside. RSI remained neutral.
The bulls will decide to withdraw upon the failure of the pair to extend its gains. In case the price plunge to 0.7500, it would continue to weaken until it reaches the 0.7450 region. Moreover, the downtrend is expected to expand the seller’s position towards 0.7350.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: December 13, 2016
The Japanese yen experienced downward pressure during Monday’s session due to the OPEC production deal as well as the positive market sentiment with regards to the Fed rate hike scheduled this December. Japan had recently released its Machinery Order and turned out to be positive, but even this particular economic data’s effect paled in comparison to the aforementioned events which had a much larger impact on the safe haven currency.
The price of the USD/JPY pair reverted from 116.00 points and went back to the 115.00 trading range. As seen in the currency pair’s 4-hour chart, the price of the USD/JPY stayed just above its moving averages and continued to inch higher. Resistance levels for the USD/JPY pair is seen to be at 116.00, while support levels are expected to come in at 115.00 points.
The MACD indicators for the currency pair increased, showing a surge in buyer strength. Meanwhile, its RSI indicators were able to remain within the overvalued regions. The market is now monitoring the pair’s current position at 116.00, and if the USD/JPY manages to break through this region, then the pair could possibly hit the 117.00 trading region.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: December 13, 2016
The USD/CAD pair remained under 1.3120 points and has now clinched its tenth day in the lower rung of the trading range. The CAD dropped during the previous trading session due to a 5% increase in crude oil prices after the OPEC meeting last week, which included non-OPEC oil-producing countries, with the participants altogether agreeing to implement production cuts on oil. Participants who were not OPEC members all agreed to productions cuts amounting to a total of 600,000 bpd, with Russia contributing a total cut of 300,000 bpd. Saudi Arabia has also expressed its possible plans to further cut back on its production of oil. However, in spite of the uncertainty on whether oil producers would be able to push through with their planned production cuts, an increase in oil prices would most definitely help in augmenting US shale production and could offset the production cuts announced last week.
The Canadian trade market would be able to benefit from steady increases in crude oil prices, as the USD/CAD’s 200 EMA is presently at 1.3075 points and is in line with 1.3040 on the lower region of the trading chart. Resistance levels for the USD/CAD pair is at the 1.3175-1.3185 trading region, and the pair shows signs of becoming oversold. Market players are now expecting a retrace if the 200 EMA maintains its current levels within the week.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: December 13, 2016
The weakness of the U.S dollar is felt widespread. In spite of the fact that the Fed are certain to have a rate increase, the greens remained on its recent highs. The British pound remained sluggish versus its American counterpart, however, the GBP met a strong support in the 1.2600 region which helped the pound to minimize downside volatility.
There is an anticipated buying within the 1.2500 level. Buyer tried to make some recovery and surpass the 1.26 mark, but they failed to expand its gains and it kept intact above the broken level upon the onset of New York trading session. The 4-hour chart showed the price tested the 50-EMA and it remained in the middle of 50 and 100-day moving averages. The entire moving averages carried a bullish slope. The current resistance touched the 1.2700 level, support has procured the 1.2600 area. The MACD histogram sits on the same level which favored additional strength for the sellers. The RSI is trending upwards. The short-term downtrend will continue in case that the price settled in the support level of 1.2600. The next target of the sellers is 1.2400-1.2500.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: December 13, 2016
The single European currency had strengthened while dollar continued to soften in the market together with a risk-off sentiment. Traders await for the Fed meeting to be held on Wednesday. The pair stayed in the downside of the market yesterday. The price made a reversal from the 1.0525 handle and exhibited upward swings through 1.0600.
Buyers successfully surpass the level and expanded its gains towards the region of 1.0650.
As shown in the 4-hour chart, the price has been tested by the 100-EMA. While, the moving averages preserved its bearish signal. Resistance is seen in the 1.0650 area, support landed at the 1.0600 level. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram hovered on its previous range which confirmed seller's strength. The RSI approached the neutral position.
In case that the market prevailed a bearish sentiment, the pair will be sold upon the 1.0600 contractions. Sellers still have the power to push the price until it reaches the 1.0500 region. Mainly, the euro may continue to recover supposing that it w

AUD/USD Technical analysis: December 13, 2016
The pair moves in an upward direction breaking above the 0.7508 Resistance level from 0.7369 mark. If the uptrend continues, the next target will be 0.7600 level. The Support level comes at 0.7428 level and if a break below this line is seen, this confirms the uptrend of the pair.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: December 13, 2016
The NZD strengthened after Bill English was sworn in as New-Zealand's new Prime Minister.
The New Zealand currency heightened after the recent reports regarding the newly appointed Prime Minister of New Zealand, Bill English who's a leader also of the National Party. This event has relieved the anxiety in the political realm of the country. The kiwi was able to recover due to the oil output deal of OPEC which improved the investor’s overall mood. The NZD reversed its losses consequent to its session low around the 0.7115 area. Traders push through the 0.7150 level during the early trades, drove through the 0.72 handle. The level was tested amid the North American hours.
As shown in the 4-hour chart, the price reverse the 50-EMA and surpass the 200-EMA towards a higher position. Both 50 and 200 EMAs secured a neutral seat, at the same time, 100-EMA edged higher. The resistance touched the 0.7200 region, support settled at the 0.7150 level. The MACD indicator traded upside. The RSI is in the overbought readings.
Should the price break the 0.72 and settled above it, a medium term with a negative outlook will neutralize. Moreover, the NZD hope to extend its gains towards 0.7250. When failed to do so, the plans of the bulls are expected to prevail, with this, the price will turn to 0.71.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: December 14, 2016
The loonie is in upbeat due to the support supplied by oil prices rally, while the greenbacks had a poor performance in trading. Bearish structure that waves downwards recorded from November highs persists yesterday. The price traded down the lower limit of a descending pattern. The U.S dollar met a stable support in the 1.3100 level subsequent to the losses it suffered from five consecutive sessions. The pair is trading in a tight range and attempted to reclaim the level during the EU hours.
Moreover, the sellers break the level before the NY opening. The price develops down from the moving averages as indicated in the 4-hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200-EMAs headed to a lower position. Resistance touched the 1.3120 handle, support is seen in the level of 1.3050.
The MACD histogram traded in the downside. RSI remained oversold.
Should a break below the 1.3120 area will provide strength for sellers by which they are able to expand their gains from 1.3050 up to 1.3070. In case the USD CAD edged higher than 1.3120, an upward movement will initiate promptly.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: December 14, 2016.
The Consumer Price Index came in with an optimistic result which helped the GBP to gain more strength. Along with this, the Retail Price Index presented a positive outcome while the Producer Price Index lose the hope investors due to negative results. Furthermore, trading with the pound seems bullish this week. The British currency successfully reclaimed the 1.26 handle and expanded its 1-week highs towards 1.27 region. The buyers found the resistance level of the sellers within the aforesaid level, buyers attempted to pass through the region.
As shown in the 4-hour chart, the price rebounded through the 100-EMA, while the 50-EMA are being pushed at the same time. Moving averages continued to be bullish. Resistance is seen at 1.2700, support sits around the 1.2600. MACD indicator rose which indicated strength position for the buyers. The RSI stayed overvalued.
Supposing that the ongoing positive signals will last longer, the sterling still has the chance to move closer towards 1.2740 area. However, if it plummeted below the 1.2650 mark, the possibility of an upward movement to occur will fade. Granted that, there are higher odds for a decline as far as 1.2600.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: December 14, 2016
The Economic Sentiment for Germany remained unchanged despite investor’s growth expectation, with this, euro established a weakening position. According to technical indicators, the market is bearish yesterday. Meanwhile, the pair continues to move within the descending channel, seeing the single European currency to procure a sluggish position but successfully maintain its stance above the support level of 1.0600.
The sellers started to tower above the market considering the greens were able to retrieve its gains from the sharp losses occurred on Monday. During the trading, the dollar made a reversal from its weekly highs as it attempted to push the 1.0600 area at the same time.
Moreover, the EURUSD did not succeed to recover the level and continued to rebounded before the onset of NY sessions. As shown in the 4-hour chart, the price made a bounced off in the 100-EMA to a downward direction. Resistance touched the 1.0650 region, support is at 1.0600.
The MACD histogram traded downside while the RSI is neutralized.
According to speculations, the downtrend has the tendency to persist. The pair is expected to approach the area of 1.0600 first. In case the initial target was hit, the next potential spot will be 1.0500 and 1.0550.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: December 14, 2016
The US and Japanese economy had an empty market calendar due to lack of economic releases during the previous trading session. However, the market is now anticipating the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s meeting this week, which is expected to contain affirmation of the much-awaited Fed interest rate hike. The four-week uptrend of the USD/JPY pair was sustained during Tuesday’s trading session, and the positive bearish sentiment was able to induce the pair to decrease in value The USD’s recent uptick was stopped by resistance which was found at the 116.00 region, and the USD/JPY p air reverted back to its original support levels of 115.00 where it remained for the rest of the trading session last Tuesday. The 50, 100, and 200 EMAs sustained their bullish stance, and resistance levels for the currency pair continue to be expected at 116.00 points. Meanwhile, support levels for the currency pair are expected to be at 115.00 points.
The MACD indicators for the currency pair remained at its previous range, which is indicative of increasing buyer strength. The RSI indicators for the USD/JPY pair were able to leave overvalued readings. The bullishness of the market is expected to remain, however a consolidation is expected to occur in the near future. The market is now monitoring the resistance levels of 116.00, and if the pair manages to go beyond this particular region, then the pair could possibly reach the 117.00 trading region.

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: December 14, 2016
The USD/CAD pair is still trading within the lower regions of the chart, with the 1.3000 trading range seen as a key range for the currency pair. Once the pair goes below 1.3000 points, then this could offset the previous uptick in the movement of the pair and could be very beneficial for the bearish market players. The pair was able to remain within the tight-range territory due to lack of activity from the Canadian economy as well as from the crude oil market.
In spite of the fact that the Canadian economy is largely dependent on the activity of oil prices, the USD/CAD was able to sustain its value even when faced with fluctuations in crude oil prices paired with a steadily positive economic data from the country. However, the currency pair is expected to remain under pressure for as long as oil prices are able to sustain its recently high value. The Bank of Canada is also expected to cut back on its interest rates this coming 2017, and this could have an effect on the Canadian currency. This also partly explains why the USD/CAD pair is mostly bullish for this term.
For today’s trading session, there are no major news releases expected from Canada. However, the US is set to release its retail sales data, as well as the minutes of the first part of the FOMC meeting, which could induce volatility in the movement of the USD/CAD pair. If the pair reaches 1.3000 points, then a stop loss is advised just below 1.2980 points.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 14, 2016
The GBP/USD is still one of the most stable currency pairs as of the moment, with the GBP/USD pair trading way above 1.2700 points. The market is currently waiting for the results of the FOMC meeting, and it is anticipated that the market will be mainly focusing on the Federal Reserve’s activities in the coming weeks after the statement release from the central bank.
There has been no major economic releases from the UK, but the region is expected to enter a period of marked volatility due to the commencement of the actual Brexit process this coming 2017. For the European session, the claimant count change data is expected to be released into the market, and the Bank of England is also expected to make a statement, and these are expected to increase the GBP/USD pair’s volatility levels.
The market is also expecting the release of the FOMC minutes, as well as the details of the press conference which is scheduled immediately after the Fed meeting. However, the central bank’s expected decision to implement a rate hike might not cause much volatility since the majority of traders are now shifting their focus to the details of the subsequent conference, since this could give hints on the future course of the central bank this 2017. The GBP/USD is speculated to become more volatile as compared with other currency pairs, and low volume is expected before the year ends, with prices becoming highly moveable as the end of the year approaches.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis: : December 14, 2016
The USD/CHF pair is trading with a bearish tone moving in a downward direction. It is supported by the 50-EMA while the RSI remains neutral at 50 handle. The strong low highs and lows steadied implying a pessimistic outlook. The U.S. ICE index is maintained at 101.00 level.
Currently, the market is anticipating the next rate hike of Fed as high as 25 basis points and if the central bank would change the rates. If the price remained lower than 1.0145, it will continue to do down within the 1.0080 and 1.0035 range
The Resistance level is seen at 1.0170 then 1.0195 to 1.0215 level while the support level comes in at 1.0080 then 1.0060 to 1.0035 level.

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 14, 2016
The NZD/USD dropped by 14 points but still rebounded by 25 basis points. Greenback gained from the PMI report of New Zealand which drives the pair's momentum. The central bank of New Zealand that there is no need for further inflation to meet the target. The spike of the currency following the bets in Governor Graeme Wheeler that easing cycle has ended.
The changes in policies have to adjust to guarantee that the target range is met since the cash rate much lower from 0.25 percentage point down to 2.5 percentage point. The current policy rate is adequate although the bank agrees to cut rates when needed.
Kiwi is bound to recovery from last year's tightening of monetary policy. This year inflation rates stand lower than the 2 percent of the midrange as forecasted by the central bank for 6 consecutive years. Although there is reluctancy because of the surge in properties located in Auckland bringing risks in financial stability while the economy shows positive growth.
The Kiwi climbed after the reports and was seen to reach 7.2% as the highest compared to other 16 currencies since September .

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis: December 14, 2016
The pair EUR/GBP increased by 7 points with positive reports in German inflation data but the general market is concern with U.S. Federal Reserve. The pair is posited at 0.7223 psychological level. Higher bets in U.S. Federal Reserve that this will move in a different direction and would pursue rate hike during their policy meeting next week. The Monetary Policy Committee seeks to change the market outlook for the next U.S. Fed policy meeting.
Monetary policies of U.K. will mainly be determined from the inflation rates even though central banks from different nations stand alone. There might be no tension from Brexit but it is expected to come in the coming months with the International Monetary Fund focusing on Article IV and its possible effect.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: December 15, 2016
The Australian Consumer Confidence Index was released during the previous trading session and has exhibited negative data since April 2016. While this might spell disaster for other currency pairs, this means relatively good news for the Australian dollar. The positive sentiment of the market was sustained during Wednesday’s trading session, with the AUD extending its recent profits during the Tokyo and London trading sessions. The AUD/USD was able to go beyond the 0.75 trading level and reached 0.7520 points in the middle of the London trading session. As seen in the 4-hour chart of the AUD/USD pair, the pricing of this particular currency pair was able to test the 200 EMA after the close of the London trading session. The Australian dollar continued to inch higher in the 50 and 100 EMAs, and the 200 EMA exhibited a downward direction. Resistance levels for the AUD/USD is expected to come in at 0.7550 points, while support levels are expected to come in at 0.7500 points.
The MACD indicators for the currency pair dropped, indicating a loss of strength in buyer positions. Meanwhile, the pair’s RSI stayed within the overbought territory. If the AUD/USD is able to break through the 0.7500 range, then this could affirm the bullish stance of the currency pair.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: December 15, 2016

The EUR traded ambiguously in relation to the USD since traders are still expressing uncertainties prior to the start of the Federal Reserve meeting yesterday. The German Manufacturing PMI data is also expected to come out later today. The EUR/USD pair had a bullish tone for the majority of the previous trading session, and traders were able to induce the pricing of the pair to drop to the 1.0650 trading range but was unable to regain its previous losses. However, a new wave of selling pressure caused the currency pair to hit 1.0600 points. The EUR/USD traded within a tight range during the London trading session and tried to exceed its previous levels during the start of the New York session. According to the pair’s 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair was able to test the 100 and 50 EMAs, and the currency pair remained below its moving averages during the previous session.

The resistance levels for the EUR/USD pair is set to come in at 1.0650, while support levels are expected to come in at 1.0600 points. The MACD indicators for the pair is currently at the center of the chart, and if the histogram is able to go within the positive side of the chart, then this will mean that buyer strength will be increasing as well. However, if the MACD reverts back to the negative side of the chart, then this will enable sellers to regain their stance on the market. The RSI indicators for the EUR/USD remains in the neutral territory.

For today’s trading session, the EUR/USD is expected to go through 1.0500 points and could possibly go even lower and reach the 1.0450 trading range. If the pair closes the trading session over 1.0650 points, then this could extend the pair’s buying interest at 1.0700 points.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: December 15, 2016

The Bank of Japan released a highly positive Tankan Large Manufacturing Index during Wednesday’s trading session, and the foreign bond investment data also exhibited a positive outlook during its release on the early hours of Thursday’s trading session. The USD/JPY pair traded in a somewhat limited consolidation below 116.11 trading points during Wednesday’s session. Meanwhile, the USD remained in a tight trading range all throughout the previous session, with its 4-hour chart showing the pair’s value going over the moving averages. Resistance levels for the USD/JPY is targeted to be at 116.00 trading points, while support levels are expected to be seen at 115.00 points.

The MACD indicators for the currency pair dropped, which is indicative of a weakness in buyer positions. The RSI indicators for the currency pair is currently beyond the overbought territory and is pointing in a southbound direction. The USD/JPY could reach 116.11 points if there is renewed buying interest in the currency pair. This could then induce the pair to reach 116.50 points. However, there is also a possibility that the pair could revert back to 114.00 points.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: December 15, 2016
The pair USD/CAD moved on a lower price channel in the chart that ended the downtrend at 1.3080 level from 1.3536 level. A minor consolidation is seen which could be followed by a rise in price towards the next target at 1.3500 mark. The support level is sited at 1.3200 and if this remains strong, the upward direction would continue.

NZD/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 15, 2016

The New Zealand dollar depreciated as more investors go for safe haven assets since commodity prices dropped in spite of the tension brought by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week. The pair NZD/USD weakened by 17 points to 0.6698 after the greenback rebounded since the decline on Friday influencing the cross trades while the commodity prices remain low.

Currencies that are heavily influenced by commodities dropped to its lowest recorded rate for more than six years because of a drop in oil prices. Concerns in U.S. Junk bonds reemerged while majority are feeling pressured by the Fed's policy meeting this week. It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve Open Committee (FROMC) will proceed with the rate hike since the close to zero policy in December 2008 as the traders rely on hints for future changes.

The New Zealand's BNZ-BusinessNZ performance of services index for November will be announce today. While, Industrial production will also be released today from both Europe and Japan, as well as Tankan manufacturing index will be publicized by Japan.

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: December 15, 2016
There is not much activity in the market specifically for the EUR/GBP pair. This could be because of the British Rate announcement scheduled to be publicize this day. It is possible for the price to break lower than the 0.83 handle. When the price surges, sellers could take the lead with opportunities in selling as it implies exhaustion close to the 0.86 handle.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 15, 2016

The FOMC statement is more hawkish than the expected which caused for the EURUSD fell. Moreover, the Fed already imposed an increase on its rates and more rate hikes are expected next year. As the market established a clear indication for the possible two-time price increase

According to previous readings, the highly anticipated December hike by the Fed is deemed to be the least that the central bank can do for the market by which the Federal Reserve are forced to adhere. The dollar’s direction are inclined on the tone of FOMC’s rate hike announcement plus other suggestions made by Chair Yellen during her press con. Furthermore, Janet Yellen admitted that Trump’s success in election caused confusion to the Fed to finalize its decision, however, the resolution is to coordinate with the plans of the U.S President to lower tax rates and heightened expenditures. The hawkish statement of the Fed are implied in order to bolster the dollar. The aforesaid scenarios aided the greenbacks to edged higher but it negatively affect the EURUSD pair and it fell through 1.0650 from the area on top of 1.0650. It also broke a solid support within the 1.0650 and it hovered above the region of 1.0500.

There is no recent news in the Eurozone as of the moment except for the unemployment claims together with the US Manufacturing Index data to be released sooner or later. The pair is expected to endure an extreme pressure as it continued to progress.

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: December 20, 2016
The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its previous monetary policies and give more positive economic expectations, thereby cementing speculations that the central bank could possibly induce an interest rate increase instead of a rate cutback. Because of the lack of policy adjustments, USD/JPY traders will now be shifting their focus on BoJ’s Kuroda’s statement regarding the increase in Japanese yields. There are speculations that Kuroda could either talk about economic expectations for 2017 or the risks involved with a sudden surge in bond yields. However, it is more definite that Kuroda will be treading carefully with regards to increasing market expectations of an interest rate hike.
The Bank of Japan could possibly sustain its present pledge-to-guide short term rates at -0.1% and 10-year Japanese Government bond yields at around 0% in spite of a somewhat positive sentiment for the Japanese economy. However, traders are advised to be careful with regards to holding Japanese bond yields at 0%, since long-term interest rates have now increased due to speculations of a steadier US rate hikes and an inflation surge under the Trump administration. The Bank of Japan is now under pressure due to calls for the central bank to add up its 10-year yields target.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 20, 2016
The GBP/USD pair exhibited consolidation and range trading during the past trading session, with the currency pair now trading over 1.2400 points with more consolidation plus a bearish bias for today’s sessions. The currency pair initially exhibited positive movement during the earlier sessions but dropped in value as yesterday’s trading sessions progressed. There were economic releases from the UK during yesterday’s session, but the Scottish Prime Minister has released a statement which inadvertently threatens the UK’s Brexit process after Scotland decided to remain in the European Union, whereas the whole of UK has already decided to relieve themselves from the eurozone. This has already increased the risk of the already very muddled Brexit process since Parliament members are now in the middle of debating the validity of Article 50 which is a vital part of the said process.
For today’s trading session, there are no major economic releases expected from the UK but the recent strength of the USD could dominate the whole market, and the continuing confusion with regards to the Brexit process could increase the downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair for the coming weeks. Any bounce found in the currency pair should be immediately seen as a short opportunity for this particular currency pair.