- for the period of 17-21 November, the EUR/USD pair will once again be testing the level of 1.2400, although at the start of the week a small rise to 1.2550 is possible;
- concerning GBP/USD, we can predict a sideways trend with sliding downwards to the level of 1.5580. At the same time, graphical analysis indicates there may be a short hike to 1.5725;
- the USD/JPY pair is probably going to duplicate its behavior in the previous two weeks, strengthening the dollar by another 100-120 points and reaching the level of 117.30;
- opinions regarding the USD/CHF pair diverge. An attempt to sum them up points to a sideways movement with quite strong volatility and a downward tendency to 0.9550.
As for last week’s forecast:
- the EUR/USD outlook was confirmed only partly. However, if any traders didn’t win by taking it into account, they at least should not have lost either. To recap, for 10-14 November analysts predicted a sideways trend with a small slump while indicators unanimously pointed downwards. As predicted, already by Monday-Tuesday the pair tried to break through the level of 1.2400 and then repeated this attempt on Friday, both times unsuccessfully. As a result, EUR/USD finished the week exactly in the range of the predicted rebound 1.2510-1.2540;
- as for GBP/USD, the opinions of both analysts and indicators were unequivocal – downwards and only downwards to the level of 1.5760, which is what happened with 100% accuracy;
- the USD/JPY pair was predicted to repeat the scenario of the first week of November – a sideways movement with definite growth. If you compare the weekly charts, you will see that they practically repeat each other;
- finally, USD/CHF nearly mirrored the behavior of EUR/USD – it got close to its goal of 0.9700 twice but near the very end of Friday it rolled down to last week’s minimum due the news from the USA.
Roman Butko, NordFX